渥太华房地产市场12月以乐观情绪结束全年

通过渥太华房地产委员会（OREB）MLS®系统售出的房屋数量在2024年12月达到613套，比2023年12月增长了7.9%。

尽管如此，12月的房屋销售仍比五年平均值低6.8%，比十年平均值低2.7%。

按年累计计算，2024年截至12月的房屋销售总数为13,526套，比2023年同期增长了11.8%。

“观察与等待的一年终于随着假日季的降温而结束，”OREB主席Paul Czan表示。“下半年市场表现出更有利的迹象，包括连续的利率下降、更高的保险贷款限额以及更长的贷款摊还期。这些措施的影响还需要时间来评估。尽管如此，市场仍在努力应对持续的可负担性和供应问题。”

“挂牌活动表明，卖家预期更好的市场环境可能会促使买家行动起来，但买家仍因缺乏能满足需求的可负担房源而受到限制，导致市场停滞。尽管改善的市场条件令人鼓舞，但供应必须跟上。即将到来的政治变化增加了一定的不确定性，但市场活动在未来几个月可能会增加的乐观趋势正在显现。”

数字解析——价格

MLS®房价指数（HPI）比平均价格或中位数价格更准确地反映了价格趋势。

• 2024年12月，整体MLS® HPI综合基准价格为645,800加元，比2023年12月增长3.8%。

• 独立屋基准价格为729,300加元，同比上涨3.7%。

• 城镇屋/排屋的基准价格为533,200加元，同比上涨11.3%。

• 公寓基准价格为404,400加元，同比下降2.5%。

• 2024年12月售出的房屋平均价格为663,781加元，比2023年12月增长4.4%。全年平均价格为679,067加元，同比增长1.3%。

• 2024年12月的房屋销售总额为4.069亿加元，同比增长12.7%。2024年全年房屋销售总额达到92亿加元，比2023年增长13.3%。

OREB提醒，平均销售价格可以用来观察长期趋势，但不应被用作具体房产价格涨跌的指标。平均价格的计算基于所有售出房产的总销售额。价格因社区不同而有所差异。

数字解析——库存与新挂牌

• 新挂牌数量同比增长13.6%，2024年12月新增住宅挂牌603套。新挂牌数量比五年平均值高3.5%，但比十年平均值低2.7%。

• 截至2024年12月底，活跃住宅挂牌总数为3,216套，比2023年12月增长58.7%。活跃挂牌数量比五年平均值高90%，比十年平均值高51.4%。

• 截至2024年12月底的库存月数为5.2个月，高于2023年12月的3.6个月。库存月数指按当前销售活动的速度售出所有库存所需的时间。

  （数据来源：渥太华地产局OREB)

Ottawa’s MLS® December Market Closes Year with Optimism

The number of homes sold through the MLS® System of the Ottawa Real Estate Board (OREB) totaled 613 units in December 2024. This was a 7.9% increase from December 2023.  

Home sales were 6.8% below the five-year average and 2.7% below the 10-year average for the month of December.

On a year-to-date basis, home sales totaled 13,526 units in December 2024 — an increase of 11.8% from the same period in 2023.

“A year of wait-and-see came to a close with the expected slowdown over the holiday season,” says OREB President Paul Czan. “The latter half of the year brought signs of more favourable market conditions with consecutive interest rate drops, higher insured mortgage limits and extended amortizations. It’s early to assess the impact of these measures. And it’s an uphill battle against affordability and supply issues that persist.”

“Listing activity indicates that sellers anticipate improved conditions could spur more activity from buyers who have been keeping a close eye on the market but hesitant to make moves. Buyers are still limited in their selection of affordable inventory that can meet current demands, which stalls movement. While the improving market conditions are encouraging, the supply needs to be there. Coming political shifts are adding a layer of uncertainty but there is a trending optimism for more increased market activity in the months ahead.”

By the Numbers – Prices: 

The MLS® Home Price Index (HPI) tracks price trends far more accurately than is possible using average or median price measures. 

• The overall MLS® HPI composite benchmark price was $645,800 in December 2024, an increase of 3.8% from December 2023.

  • The benchmark price for single-family homes was $729,300, up 3.7% on a year-over-year basis in December.

  • By comparison, the benchmark price for a townhouse/row unit was $533,200, up 11.3% compared to a year earlier.

  • The benchmark apartment price was $404,400, down 2.5% from last year.

• The average price of homes sold in December 2024 was $663,781, increasing 4.4% from December 2023. The more comprehensive year-to-date average price was $679,067, increasing by 1.3% from last year.

• The dollar volume of all home sales in December 2024 was $406.9 million, up 12.7% from December 2023. The total dollar volume of all home sales in 2024 was $9.2 billion, up 13.3% from all of 2023.

OREB cautions that the average sale price can be useful in establishing trends over time but should not be used as an indicator that specific properties have increased or decreased in value. The calculation of the average sale price is based on the total dollar volume of all properties sold. Prices will vary from neighbourhood to neighbourhood.  

By the Numbers – Inventory & New Listings 

• The number of new listings saw an increase of 13.6% from December 2023. There were 603 new residential listings in December 2024. New listings were 3.5% above the five-year average and 2.7% below the 10-year average for the month of December.

• Active residential listings numbered 3,216 units on the market at the end of December 2024, a gain of 58.7% from December 2023. Active listings were 90% above the five-year average and 51.4% above the 10-year average for the month of December.

• Months of inventory numbered 5.2 at the end of December 2024, compared to 3.6 in December 2023. The number of months of inventory is the number of months it would take to sell current inventories at the current rate of sales activity.

(SOURCE: OREB)

渥太华房市5年大比拼​

2025年初的加拿大，总理辞职，政局动荡，失业率攀升，政治经济局面都不太稳定。纵观房地产行业，虽然利率从去年开始已经进入降息通道，但基于过去几年高利率下产生的负债，消费者还并没有从阴霾中走出来，消费心态不够积极。

渥太华的表现，在加拿大各大城市中是什么情况呢？下面我通过几个关键的统计报告，来和大家宏观总结一下渥太华近5年房市的动态。

平均房价趋势​

截至2024年12月31日，渥太华各类物业的总体平均房价是67.9万。这一价格比2023年略微上升了1.3%，但比2022年年底时的价格下降了4.2%。

与5年前（2019年底），也就是疫情开始前相比，房价上升了多少呢？答案是47.9%！

可以看出，渥太华的房价在经历疫情上涨、加息后回落的周期后依然非常稳健可靠。5年上涨近50%，这说明渥太华是一个健康稳健的投资市场。

销量变化​

截至2024年12月31日，全年的销售量是13,526套，比2023年全年销量上升了11.8%，但比2022年下降了0.4%，也就是说几乎和2022年这个“前高后低”的年份相当。

与5年前的2019年相比，销售量下降了19.3%。

销售量在一定程度上反映消费者的信心指数。从数据可以看出，2024年随着利率下调，消费者信心比2023年有所恢复，但与疫情前相比，市场热情仍有明显差距。

挂盘量分析​

2024年全年共有25,100套房源在系统中挂牌，比2023年增加了18%，比2022年上升了8.8%，与2019年相比则增加了19.3%。

挂盘量在一定程度上反映卖家是否愿意继续持有物业。2024年比2023年多出18%，主要是因为利率开始下滑，许多被高利率“折磨”已久的卖家，终于等到了降息并期待更多买家进入市场。

与2019年相比，挂牌量增加了19%，这说明当时卖家更倾向于继续持有物业。挂盘量越少，说明卖家对市场的信心越强；挂盘量越多，说明市场信心不足。

挂售比（Sales-to-New-Listings Ratio）​

一个重要的指标是挂售比，即新挂牌数量和成交量之间的比例。这个比例越高，房价上涨的压力越大。

• 2024年的挂售比是53.9%

• 2023年是56.9%

• 2022年是58.8%

• 而2019年高达79.8%

2019年，每月挂出100套新房源，近80套可以马上售出。这种情况会导致库存极低，从而推动价格上涨。2024年虽然成交量上升了11%，但挂牌量增加了18%，因此房价上涨的内在驱动力并不强。

目前来看，房价没有明显的上涨趋势。对于有意买房的朋友，现在可以静下心来慢慢挑选。

总结：渥太华房市的表现​

从以上数据可以看出，与多伦多、温哥华等加拿大其他大城市相比，渥太华的房市仍有较大差距。

总体来说，渥太华房市表现稳健，一旦房价上升到一定水平，就很难降下来。

短期来看，经济形势对市场的影响显而易见；但从长期来看，只要持有时间足够长，房产投资的回报率会高于大部分其他类型的投资。因此，在渥太华买房，需要做好长期持有的准备，而不应抱有短期投机心理。只要选对物业，长期回报率会非常可观。

对2025年的预测​

如果你看到这里，说明你对渥太华房市还是感兴趣的。那么你怎么看2025年渥太华的房市呢？

以下是我的预测：

1. 如果基础利率进一步降到3%以下，房价将缓慢上涨，预计全年涨幅约为5%，但不会出现快速上涨的情况。

2. 如果降息幅度较小，或者政局动荡，政策对房地产市场没有保护措施，那么房市可能会横盘，和今年涨幅相当（约1%）。但整体来看，房价继续下跌的可能性不大。

下期预告​

下期我会和大家聊聊，如果你现在想卖房，在挂售比不高的市场中，如何抓住关键点，速战速决地卖出你的物业。

我是Ruby，渥太华的房产标杆。See you guys next time!
（本文由渥太华红宝地产团队原创，如需转载请标明出处）

Ottawa’s MLS® Market Making Headway

The number of homes sold through the MLS® System of the Ottawa Real Estate Board (OREB) totaled 1,059 units in November 2024 — a slight dip down from the 1,179 units sold the month previous. 

Home sales were 3.1% below the five-year average and 0.5% below the 10-year average for the month of November. 

On a year-to-date basis, home sales totaled 12,882 units in November 2024 — an increase of 11.8% from the same period in 2023.  

“Ottawa’s market is making headway on a long road back from the slowdown experienced in 2023,” says OREB Past-President Curtis Fillier. “Buyers have been slow to come back to the market while watching the interest rates lower, and some are waiting to see how new mortgage rules — the extended amortization period and the increased default insurance cap — coming into effect in December may redefine their purchasing power. Sellers have noticed that caution and those who can are likely holding on for a more active spring.” 

“There will be the typical slowdown at this time of the year as people’s attentions turn to the holidays, and the snow starts to cover a property’s selling features,” says Fillier. “With prices holding steady and open houses getting traffic, though, people are keeping a close eye on opportunities.”  

By the Numbers – Prices: 

• The MLS® Home Price Index (HPI) tracks price trends far more accurately than is possible using average or median price measures. 

  • The overall MLS® HPI composite benchmark price was $636,700 in November 2024, an increase of 1.5% from November 2023.

    • The benchmark price for single-family homes was $722,400, up 2.1% on a year-over-year basis in November.

    • By comparison, the benchmark price for a townhouse/row unit was $491,500, up 0.3% compared to a year earlier.

    • The benchmark apartment price was $406,200, down 3.7% from last year.

  • The average price of homes sold in November 2024 was $667,098 increasing 4.6% from November 2023.

  • The more comprehensive year-to-date average price was $679,797, increasing by 1.2% from November 2023.

  • The dollar volume of all home sales in November 2024 was $706.4 million, up 51.8% from November 2023.

  OREB cautions that the average sale price can be useful in establishing trends over time but should not be used as an indicator that specific properties have increased or decreased in value. The calculation of the average sale price is based on the total dollar volume of all properties sold. Prices will vary from neighbourhood to neighbourhood.  

  By the Numbers – Inventory & New Listings 

• The number of new listings saw a decrease of 7.3% from November 2023. There were 1,352 new residential listings in November 2024. New listings were 6.3% below the five-year average and 0.3% above the 10-year average for the month of November.

• Active residential listings numbered 4,036 units on the market at the end of November 2024, a gain of 38.2% from November 2023. Active listings were 72.8% above the five-year average and 44.3% above the 10-year average for the month of November.

• Months of inventory numbered 3.8 at the end of November 2024, compared to 4.0 in November 2023. The number of months of inventory is the number of months it would take to sell current inventories at the current rate of sales activity.

  (SOURCE: OREB)

渥太华MLS®市场取得进展

根据渥太华房地产委员会（OREB）的MLS®系统数据，2024年11月通过MLS®系统售出的房屋总数为1,059套，相较于前一个月售出的1,179套略有下降。

11月的房屋销售量比五年平均水平低3.1%，比十年平均水平低0.5%。

截至2024年11月，全年累计房屋销售量达到12,882套，比2023年同期增长11.8%。

“渥太华的市场正在从2023年的放缓中逐步复苏，”OREB前任主席Curtis Fillier表示。“随着买家观察利率逐步下降，部分人还在等待即将于12月生效的新按揭规则（延长的摊还期和提高的违约保险额度）对其购买力的影响。一些卖家注意到了这种观望情绪，若条件允许，他们可能会选择等待春季更活跃的市场。”

“年末通常会出现季节性市场放缓，因为人们的注意力转向节日，而积雪也掩盖了房产的部分卖点，”Fillier补充道。“不过，由于价格保持稳定且开放看房的人流量持续，市场机会仍然受到密切关注。”

数据解读 - 房价：

MLS®房价指数（HPI）比平均或中位数房价更准确地追踪价格趋势。

• 2024年11月，整体MLS® HPI综合基准价格为636,700加元，同比上涨1.5%。

• 单户住宅基准价格为722,400加元，同比增长2.1%。

• 联排/排屋基准价格为491,500加元，同比上涨0.3%。

• 公寓基准价格为406,200加元，同比下降3.7%。

• 2024年11月售出的房屋平均价格为667,098加元，同比上涨4.6%。

• 更全面的年初至今平均价格为679,797加元，同比上涨1.2%。

• 2024年11月的总销售额为7.064亿加元，比2023年11月增长51.8%。

OREB提醒，平均售价可以用来观察长期趋势，但不应作为具体房产增值或贬值的直接指标。平均售价的计算基于所有售出房产的总销售额，而价格会因不同社区而异。

数据解读 - 库存与新增房源：

• 新增房源数量较2023年11月减少7.3%，2024年11月新增住宅房源为1,352套。新增房源比五年平均水平低6.3%，但比十年平均水平高0.3%。

• 截至2024年11月底，活跃住宅房源数量为4,036套，比2023年11月增长38.2%。活跃房源比五年平均水平高72.8%，比十年平均水平高44.3%。

• 2024年11月底的库存月数为3.8个月，而2023年11月为4.0个月。库存月数表示以当前销售速度售完现有库存所需的时间。

（数据来源：渥太华地产局OREB)

Consumer Confidence Cautiously on the Rise in Ottawa Resale Market

The number of homes sold through the MLS® System of the Ottawa Real Estate Board (OREB) totaled 1,179 units in October 2024 — an increase over the 1,047 units sold last month.

Home sales were 3.9% below the five-year average and 0.9% below the 10-year average for the month of October.

On a year-to-date basis, home sales totaled 11,662 units in October 2024 — an increase of 9.4% from the same period in 2023.

“We’re seeing positive movement in Ottawa’s market with sales activity up,” says OREB President Curtis Fillier. “This is especially interesting because there has been sustained activity throughout the year instead of the typical seasonal spikes and lulls. Consumer confidence is getting stronger, boosted by another consecutive Bank of Canada interest rate cut — though many are waiting for additional rate drops.”

The 50-basis-point reduction might offer optimism following Ontario’s tabling of the Fall Economic Statement where housing starts projections were scaled back to 81,300, representing another reduction in projections and is even further from the province’s goal of creating 125,000 new homes in 2024. The Ontario government cites high interest rates and a tough economic environment as pervasive challenges for homebuilders.

“The challenge remains supply,” says Fillier. “We know from experience that Ottawa’s inventory leans tight and can swing quickly from balanced territory to a seller’s market — which can compound affordability and accessibility challenges. Now is always the time for fresh action and innovative policies that can create much-needed inventory.”

OREB leaders and volunteers recently joined the Canadian Real Estate Association on Parliament Hill to present focused solutions to confront the ongoing housing supply crisis. With expertise and experience in market conditions and consumer needs, REALTORS® advocated to stimulate supply by investing in offsite construction technologies (i.e. prefabricated homes) and extending HST/GST relief for non-profit-built affordable ownership housing.

By the Numbers – Prices: 

The MLS® Home Price Index (HPI) tracks price trends far more accurately than is possible using average or median price measures. 

• The overall MLS® HPI composite benchmark price was $639,500 in October 2024, an increase of 0.4% from October 2023.

• The overall MLS® HPI composite benchmark price was $639,500 in October 2024, an increase of 0.4% from October 2023.

  • The benchmark price for single-family homes was $724,500, up 0.7% on a year-over-year basis in October.

  • By comparison, the benchmark price for a townhouse/row unit was $506,900, up 1.6% compared to a year earlier. 

  • The benchmark apartment price was $407,500, down 3.4% from last year.

• The average price of homes sold in October 2024 was $668,690 increasing 1.2% from October 2023. The more comprehensive year-to-date average price was $678,081, increasing by 0.9% from October 2023.  

• The dollar volume of all home sales in October 2024 was $788.3 million, up 47.7% from October 2023.

OREB cautions that the average sale price can be useful in establishing trends over time but should not be used as an indicator that specific properties have increased or decreased in value. The calculation of the average sale price is based on the total dollar volume of all properties sold. Prices will vary from neighbourhood to neighbourhood.  

By the Numbers – Inventory & New Listings 

• The number of new listings saw an increase of 10.4% from October 2023. There were 2,089 new residential listings in October 2024. New listings were 6.7% above the five-year average and 17% above the 10-year average for the month of October.

• Active residential listings numbered 3,354 units on the market at the end of October 2024, a gain of 8.9% from October 2023. Active listings were 40.6% above the five-year average and 6.7% above the 10-year average for the month of October.

• Months of inventory numbered 2.8 at the end of October 2024, compared to 3.8 in October 2023. The number of months of inventory is the number of months it would take to sell current inventories at the current rate of sales activity.

  (SOURCE: OREB)

消费者信心在渥太华转售市场中谨慎回升

2024年10月，通过渥太华房地产委员会（OREB）MLS®系统销售的房屋总数达1,179套，高于上个月的1,047套。

尽管如此，10月的房屋销售量仍低于五年平均水平3.9%，低于十年平均水平0.9%。

截至2024年10月的年度累计销售量达到11,662套，比2023年同期增长9.4%。

“渥太华的市场呈现积极变化，销售活动有所增加。”OREB主席Curtis Fillier表示。“特别有趣的是，今年的市场活动一直维持稳定，而不是典型的季节性波动。消费者信心在逐步增强，尤其是在加拿大央行连续降息的背景下，尽管许多人仍在等待进一步的降息。”

50个基点的降息或许带来了一些乐观情绪，尤其是在安大略省发布秋季经济声明后，该声明将新建住房目标下调至81,300套，再次降低了预期，远低于省政府2024年建设125,000套新住房的目标。安省政府指出，高利率和艰难的经济环境给房屋建设者带来了持续挑战。

“供应问题依然存在。”Fillier说道，“渥太华的库存通常较紧张，并且很容易从平衡市场转向卖方市场，这可能会加剧可负担性和可及性问题。当前的形势呼吁新的行动和创新政策，以增加急需的库存。”

最近，OREB的领导层和志愿者前往国会山，与加拿大房地产协会（CREA）一同提出解决持续住房供应危机的具体方案。凭借对市场状况和消费者需求的丰富经验，房地产经纪人们提议通过投资外部建设技术（如预制房屋）和为非营利性建造的可负担房屋提供HST/GST减免，来促进住房供应。

价格数据一览：

MLS®房价指数（HPI）相比平均或中位数价格衡量更为准确，能更好地跟踪价格趋势。

• 2024年10月的MLS® HPI综合基准价格为639,500加元，比2023年10月增长了0.4%。

• 单户住宅的基准价格为724,500加元，同比上涨0.7%。

• 相比之下，联排/排屋单位的基准价格为506,900加元，同比增长1.6%。

• 公寓基准价格为407,500加元，同比下降3.4%。

• 2024年10月的平均房屋销售价格为668,690加元，同比上升1.2%。年度累计的平均价格为678,081加元，同比上升0.9%。

• 2024年10月所有房屋销售的总金额为7.883亿加元，比2023年10月增长了47.7%。

OREB提醒，平均销售价格可用于长期趋势分析，但不应作为具体房产增值或贬值的指标。平均销售价格的计算基于所有售出房产的总金额，不同社区的价格会有所不同。

库存及新上市房源数据一览：

2024年10月的新上市房源数量较2023年10月增加了10.4%，共有2,089套新的住宅房源。新上市房源比五年平均水平高6.7%，比十年平均水平高出17%。

截至2024年10月底，活跃住宅房源总数为3,354套，比2023年10月增长了8.9%。活跃房源数量比五年平均水平高出40.6%，比十年平均水平高出6.7%。

截至2024年10月底，市场库存为2.8个月，而2023年10月为3.8个月。库存月数指的是以当前销售速度售完所有库存所需的时间。
（数据来源：渥太华地产局OREB)

渥太华的 MLS® 房屋销售在市场变化中保持健康

2024 年 9 月，通过渥太华房地产委员会（OREB）MLS® 系统销售的房屋数量总计 1,047 套，比 2023 年 9 月增长 11.4%。

9 月的房屋销售量比五年平均水平低 17.4%，比十年平均水平低 15.4%。

截至 2024 年 9 月，年初至今的房屋销售总计 10,485 套，比 2023 年同期增长 6.4%。

“在我们应对不断变化的住房市场时，渥太华的秋季市场前景依然健康，”OREB 主席 Curtis Fillier 说道。“销售活跃，价格保持稳定。与此同时，买卖双方正在重新评估他们的购买力，因为关于未来进一步降息、延长贷款摊销期以及提高受保按揭价格上限的消息正在出现。”

Fillier 还表示：“最近有一些令人鼓舞的政策发展，这将刺激需求。但渥太华的市场通常不存在需求问题——我们有长期的供应问题。我们在市内没有建足够的房屋，也没有建造足够适合‘缺失的中间’（missing middle）的房屋。”

加拿大按揭与住房公司（CMHC）最近报告称，渥太华的“按人口调整后的建设量接近 10 年来的最低水平”。渥太华市的一份进展报告显示，截至 8 月底，渥太华仅达到了其年度住房目标的 22%。

——价格

MLS® 房屋价格指数（HPI）追踪价格趋势，准确性远远超过使用平均价格或中位数价格的测量方法。

2024 年 9 月，整体 MLS® HPI 综合基准价格为 642,800 加元，比 2023 年 9 月增长 0.2%。 单户住宅的基准价格为 729,000 加元，同比增长 0.5%。 相比之下，联排别墅/排屋单元的基准价格为 500,000 加元，同比下降 1.7%。 公寓的基准价格为 414,200 加元，比去年同期下降 1.3%。 2024 年 9 月销售房屋的平均价格为 685,551 加元，比 2023 年 9 月增长 1.4%。更全面的年初至今平均价格为 679,082 加元，同比增加 0.9%。 2024 年 9 月所有房屋销售的总金额为 7.177 亿加元，比 2023 年 9 月增长 12.9%。 OREB 警告，平均售价在长期趋势判断中有用，但不应作为具体房产价值上涨或下跌的指标。平均售价的计算基于所有售出的房产总金额，价格会因不同社区而异。

——库存和新房源

新房源数量比 2023 年 9 月增加了 3.9%，2024 年 9 月有 2,343 个新住宅房源。新房源比五年平均水平高 4.7%，比十年平均水平高 11.6%。 2024 年 9 月底的活跃住宅房源数量为 3,529 套，比 2023 年 9 月增加了 16.9%。活跃房源比五年平均水平高 43.3%，比十年平均水平高 4.6%。 2024 年 9 月底的库存月数为 3.4 个月，高于 2023 年 9 月的 3.2 个月。库存月数是指以当前的销售活动速度售完当前库存所需的月数。

（数据来源：渥太华地产局OREB)

渥太华火热的夏季房市预计将延续至秋季

通过渥太华房地产委员会（OREB）MLS®系统售出的房屋数量在2024年8月总计1,100套，比2023年8月增长了10.2%。

8月的房屋销售量比五年平均水平低11.4%，比十年平均水平低14.1%。

截至2024年8月，年初至今的房屋销售总数为9,444套，比2023年同期增长了6.0%。

“作为一个季节性市场，整个夏季保持持续的活动水平非常令人鼓舞。” OREB候任主席Paul Czan表示，“再加上加拿大央行连续第三次降息，我们预计秋季市场将会更加活跃。”

“房地产经纪人深知，大多数买家的首要关注点仍然是负担能力。随着大量新房源进入市场，价格保持稳定，买家并不急于行动，他们依旧保持谨慎，花时间寻找适合自己需求和预算的房产。因此，卖家需要保持耐心，并与能够使用最新社区级数据和洞察的房地产经纪人合作，以正确的价格为房产定价，并制定销售策略。”

价格：

MLS®房价指数（HPI）跟踪的价格趋势比使用平均或中位价格衡量的要更为准确。

2024年8月的整体MLS® HPI综合基准价格为646,000加元，比2023年8月下降了0.3%。 8月独立住宅的基准价格为732,500加元，同比下降0.3%。 相比之下，联排别墅的基准价格为502,200加元，比去年同期上涨了0.3%。 公寓的基准价格为416,800加元，同比下降了1.2%。 2024年8月售出的房屋平均价格为660,341加元，比2023年8月上涨了0.3%。年初至今的综合平均价格为678,327加元，比2023年8月上涨了0.9%。 2024年8月所有房屋销售的总成交额为7.263亿加元，比2023年8月增长了10.5%。 OREB提醒，平均售价有助于随着时间推移建立趋势，但不应作为特定房产价格上涨或下跌的指标。平均售价的计算基于售出的所有房产的总成交额。不同社区的价格会有所差异。

库存和新挂牌：

2024年8月新挂牌住宅数量比2023年8月增长了0.2%。8月新增住宅挂牌数量为1,907套，新挂牌量比五年平均水平高出0.2%，比十年平均水平高出0.9%。 2024年8月底活跃住宅挂牌数量为3,324套，比2023年8月增长了25.8%。活跃挂牌量比五年平均水平高出46.5%，但比十年平均水平低1.3%。 2024年8月底的库存月份数为3.0个月，高于2023年8月的2.6个月。库存月份数是指按照当前的销售活动水平，卖完现有库存所需的时间。

（数据来源：渥太华地产局OREB)

Ottawa’s MLS® Home Sales Healthy Amid a Shifting Market

The number of homes sold through the MLS® System of the Ottawa Real Estate Board (OREB) totaled 1,047 units in September 2024. This was an 11.4% increase from September 2023.  

Home sales were 17.4% below the five-year average and 15.4% below the 10-year average for the month of September.  

On a year-to-date basis, home sales totaled 10,485 units in September 2024 — an increase of 6.4% from the same period in 2023.  

“As we navigate a shifting housing market, Ottawa’s fall outlook is healthy,” says OREB President Curtis Fillier. “Activity is robust with an uptick in sales and prices remaining steady. Meanwhile, both buyers and sellers are rethinking their purchasing power amidst news about additional interest rate cuts on the horizon, longer amortizations, and increased price caps for insured mortgages.” 

“There have been encouraging policy developments recently that will stimulate demand,” says Fillier. “But Ottawa’s market does not typically have demand problems — we have chronic supply issues. We’re not building enough homes in the city, and we’re not building enough of the right homes to address the ‘missing middle.’”  

The Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation (CMHC) recently reported that Ottawa’s “population-adjusted construction is at its lowest level in nearly 10 years.” A City of Ottawa progress report shows that Ottawa is only at 22 per cent of its annual housing target at the end of August.  

By the Numbers – Prices: 

The MLS® Home Price Index (HPI) tracks price trends far more accurately than is possible using average or median price measures. 

• The overall MLS® HPI composite benchmark price was $642,800 in September 2024, an increase of 0.2% from September 2023.  

  • The benchmark price for single-family homes was $729,000, up 0.5% on a year-over-year basis in September.  

  • By comparison, the benchmark price for a townhouse/row unit was $500,000, down 1.7% compared to a year earlier.  

  • The benchmark apartment price was $414,200, down 1.3% from year-ago levels. 

• The average price of homes sold in September 2024 was $685,551 increasing 1.4% from September 2023. The more comprehensive year-to-date average price was $679,082, increasing by 0.9% from September 2023.  

• The dollar volume of all home sales in September 2024 was $717.7 million, up 12.9% from September 2023. 

OREB cautions that the average sale price can be useful in establishing trends over time but should not be used as an indicator that specific properties have increased or decreased in value. The calculation of the average sale price is based on the total dollar volume of all properties sold. Prices will vary from neighbourhood to neighbourhood.  

By the Numbers – Inventory & New Listings 

• The number of new listings saw an increase of 3.9% from September 2023. There were 2,343 new residential listings in September 2024. New listings were 4.7% above the five-year average and 11.6% above the 10-year average for the month of September. 

• Active residential listings numbered 3,529 units on the market at the end of September 2024, a gain of 16.9% from September 2023. Active listings were 43.3% above the five-year average and 4.6% above the 10-year average for the month of September. 

• Months of inventory numbered 3.4 at the end of September 2024, up from 3.2 in September 2023. The number of months of inventory is the number of months it would take to sell current inventories at the current rate of sales activity. 

  (SOURCE: OREB)

Ottawa’s Hot Summer Market Expected to Extend into Fall

The number of homes sold through the MLS® System of the Ottawa Real Estate Board (OREB) totaled 1,100 units in August 2024. This was a 10.2% increase from August 2023.

Home sales were 11.4% below the five-year average and 14.1% below the 10-year average for the month of August.

On a year-to-date basis, home sales totaled 9,444 units in August 2024 — an increase of 6.0% from the same period in 2023.

“Being a seasonal market, it’s very encouraging to see sustained levels of activity throughout the whole summer,” says OREB President-elect Paul Czan. “And coupled with a third consecutive interest rate drop from the Bank of Canada, we are anticipating a heated market in the fall.”

“REALTORS® know firsthand how affordability remains a top concern for most buyers. With a stream of new listings hitting the market and prices holding steady, buyers are not moving with urgency. They are still using caution and taking their time to find the right property for their needs and budget. As such, sellers need to be patient and work with a REALTOR® who can use the latest neighbourhood-level data and insights to properly price their property and build a selling strategy.”

By the Numbers – Prices:

The MLS® Home Price Index (HPI) tracks price trends far more accurately than is possible using average or median price measures.

• The overall MLS® HPI composite benchmark price was $646,000 in August 2024, a decrease of 0.3% from August 2023.

  • The benchmark price for single-family homes was $732,500, down 0.3% on a year-over-year basis in August.

  • By comparison, the benchmark price for a townhouse/row unit was $502,200, up 0.3% compared to a year earlier.

  • The benchmark apartment price was $416,800, down 1.2% from year-ago levels.

  • The average price of homes sold in August 2024 was $660,341 increasing 0.3% from August 2023. The more comprehensive year-to-date average price was $678,327, increasing by 0.9% from August 2023.

  • The dollar volume of all home sales in August 2024 was $726.3 million, up 10.5% from August 2023.

OREB cautions that the average sale price can be useful in establishing trends over time but should not be used as an indicator that specific properties have increased or decreased in value. The calculation of the average sale price is based on the total dollar volume of all properties sold. Prices will vary from neighbourhood to neighbourhood.

By the Numbers – Inventory and New Listings:

• The number of new listings saw an increase of 0.2% from August 2023. There were 1,907 new residential listings in August 2024. New listings were 0.2% above the five-year average and 0.9% above the 10-year average for the month of August.

  • Active residential listings numbered 3,324 units on the market at the end of August 2024, a gain of 25.8% from August 2023. Active listings were 46.5% above the five-year average and 1.3% below the 10-year average for the month of August.

  • Months of inventory numbered 3.0 at the end of August 2024, up from 2.6 in August 2023. The number of months of inventory is the number of months it would take to sell current inventories at the current rate of sales activity.

(SOURCE: OREB)